trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 66 | -48.7% | -53.6% | 29% | 26% | -45.9% |
| ≤30d | 205 | -8.8% | -17.5% | 44% | 42% | -31.7% |
| ≤90d | 394 | -10.2% | -18.8% | 46% | 43% | -23.5% |
| all | 394 | -10.2% | -18.8% | 46% | 43% | -23.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -18.8% | 43% | -23.5% |
| 10% | -26.6% | 37% | -30.8% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -33.6% | 30% | -37.5% |
| 20% | -40.2% | 24% | -43.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $1,034 | $1,097 | +$63 (+6%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 51¢ | 52¢ | $375 | $378 | +$4 (+1%) |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $329 | $349 | +$20 (+6%) |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $283 | $299 | +$16 (+6%) |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30? | No | 92¢ | 98¢ | $92 | $98 | +$6 (+7%) |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30? | No | 85¢ | 98¢ | $85 | $98 | +$13 (+15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Jun 26 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Celtics | Jun 26 | $125 | −$125 | -100% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Jun 26 | $3,629 | −$3,629 | -100% |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines | Jun 26 | $697 | −$697 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Grizzlies | Jun 26 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Jun 26 | $65 | −$65 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Rockets | Jun 26 | $1,129 | −$1,129 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | Jun 26 | $2,440 | −$2,440 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Thunder | Jun 26 | $808 | −$808 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Nets | Jun 26 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Jun 26 | $4,085 | −$4,085 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Bucks | Jun 26 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Jun 26 | $480 | −$480 | -100% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Q | Jun 26 | $87 | −$87 | -100% |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines | Jun 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Thunder | Jun 26 | $168 | −$168 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | Jun 26 | $5,402 | −$5,402 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Bucks | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26? | Jun 26 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Pacers | Jun 26 | $995 | −$995 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Jun 26 | $814 | −$814 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Grizzlies | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Mavericks | Jun 26 | $96 | −$96 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. 76ers | Jun 26 | $265 | −$265 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Nets | Jun 26 | $2,689 | −$2,690 | -100% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Jun 26 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $294 | +$383 | +130% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $460 | +$130 | +28% |
| Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $87 | −$87 | -100% |
| Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $1,134 | +$1,152 | +102% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $746 | +$199 | +27% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $149 | −$139 | -93% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $224 | +$107 | +48% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $273 | +$224 | +82% |
| Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $91 | −$89 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $846 | −$763 | -90% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $215 | −$28 | -13% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $922 | +$858 | +93% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $68 | −$67 | -97% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $86 | −$86 | -100% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $3,854 | +$821 | +21% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $3,105 | −$1,543 | -50% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $216 | −$3 | -2% |
| Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $129 | −$32 | -25% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $977 | +$343 | +35% |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $7 | +$3 | +38% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $887 | +$413 | +47% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $9,126 | −$9,126 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $1,402 | +$384 | +27% |