Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T03:57:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
5F 0x5f0e…99ce crypto 1523 markets active 0h ago coverage 30d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 29d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$2,698 (-15%) realized −$2,698 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate66%1008W / 515L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day63.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 30d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$204
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 572 +1.2% -8.4% 90% 10% -8.8%
≤30d 1523 -1.5% -10.8% 66% 36% -10.6%
≤90d 1523 -1.5% -10.8% 66% 36% -10.6%
all 1523 -1.5% -10.8% 66% 36% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover63.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 36% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 32% -19.1%
15% -27.2% 30% -26.9%
20% -34.3% 21% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
45% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$8 · ×0.48 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,698
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses1008 / 515
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1523 / 1523
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day63.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1523 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 29 $55 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 29 $57 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 29 $26 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 29 $26 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 29 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 29 $25 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 29 $25 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 29 $54 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 29 $26 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 29 $27 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 29 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 29 $26 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 29 $25 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 29 $26 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 29 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 29 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 29 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 29 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 29 $53 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 29 $53 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 29 $25 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 29 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 29 $52 +$8 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 28 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 28 $25 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 28 $21 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 28 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 28 $45 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 28 $45 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 28 $21 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 28 $44 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 28 $20 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 28 $21 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 28 $20 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 28 $46 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 28 $46 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 28 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 28 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 28 $45 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 28 $46 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 28 $23 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 28 $21 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 28 $41 −$16 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 28 $44 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 28 $23 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 28 $23 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 28 $41 −$16 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 28 $23 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 28 $42 −$17 -40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $20 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $27 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $57 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $26 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $28 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $28 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records