trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 60% | 40% | -8.1% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -15.9% | -23.9% | 39% | 35% | -23.4% |
| all | 23 | -15.9% | -23.9% | 39% | 35% | -23.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.9% | 35% | -23.4% |
| 10% | -31.2% | 35% | -30.7% |
| 15% | -37.8% | 30% | -37.4% |
| 20% | -43.9% | 26% | -43.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 66¢ | 20¢ | $10 | $3 | −$7 (-70%) |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 42¢ | 18¢ | $5 | $2 | −$3 (-58%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8? | Jun 07 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6? | Jun 07 | $10 | +$13 | +131% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | Jun 05 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | Jun 05 | $5 | +$2 | +44% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | Jun 05 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | Apr 24 | $1 | −$1 | -93% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 23? | Apr 23 | $6 | +$13 | +216% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 23? | Apr 23 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | Apr 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | Apr 23 | $3 | +$1 | +23% |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026? | Apr 23 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | Apr 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | Apr 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | Apr 22 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | Apr 22 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | Apr 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 20? | Apr 22 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 20? | Apr 22 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20? | Apr 22 | $10 | +$10 | +95% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 58 million views on day 2 | Apr 20 | $5 | +$4 | +81% |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20? | Apr 20 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | Apr 20 | $2 | +$7 | +366% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | Apr 20 | $1 | +$1 | +77% |