trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | +53.3% | +38.7% | 36% | 32% | +15.4% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +50.9% | +36.5% | 40% | 36% | +8.1% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +34.7% | +21.9% | 36% | 32% | -10.1% |
| all | 28 | +34.7% | +21.9% | 36% | 32% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +21.9% | 32% | -10.1% |
| 10% | +10.2% | 29% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -0.4% | 29% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -10.2% | 21% | -33.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $49 | $40 | −$9 (-19%) |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $14 | $12 | −$2 (-13%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $170 | −$74 | -44% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $60 | −$47 | -78% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $108 | +$456 | +423% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $98 | −$97 | -99% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $16 | −$15 | -97% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $78 | +$70 | +89% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$76 | +387% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $146 | +$14 | +10% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $44 | −$43 | -98% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $39 | −$38 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$19 | -98% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $113 | −$110 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $49 | −$48 | -97% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $89 | −$87 | -97% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $49 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $20 | −$19 | -98% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $65 | +$152 | +235% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $40 | −$39 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $86 | +$40 | +46% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $31 | +$60 | +194% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$2 | +38% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $15 | +$24 | +163% |
| UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Champion | May 30 | $88 | −$85 | -97% |
| Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? | May 13 | $75 | −$73 | -97% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | May 05 | $147 | −$143 | -98% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Apr 29 | $8 | −$8 | -97% |