Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:02:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f2c…e2fd
sports · 96 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$102 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$90
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses31 / 63
Est. fees paid−$118
Open positions2
Markets (closed)94 / 96
Avg bet$60
Trades / day3.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 2 History 94 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$100
14 days−$100
30 days−$382
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $12 $4 −$7 (-63%)
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-25%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore Royal Challengers Bangalore 39¢ 0¢ $209 $0 −$209 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians Mumbai Indians 10¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Timberwolves 23¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Who wins the toss? Gujarat Titans 10¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Cavaliers Pistons 30¢ 0¢ $597 $0 −$597 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders Kolkata Knight Riders 25¢ 0¢ $153 $0 −$153 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans Rajasthan Royals 35¢ 0¢ $427 $0 −$427 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders Lucknow Super Giants 73¢ 0¢ $533 $0 −$533 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Riders Kolkata Knight Riders 10¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $100 −$100 -100%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $1 $0 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 08 $9 $0 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 08 $9 $0 +0%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals May 28 $230 +$100 +43%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians May 28 $405 −$126 -31%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 28 $29 −$29 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal May 28 $193 −$193 -100%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals - Who wins t May 28 $8 −$8 -100%
Epstein suicide note released by May 8? May 15 $33 −$27 -82%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Who win May 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 12 $597 −$597 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 11 $31 −$10 -32%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the t May 11 $31 +$77 +250%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? May 11 $13 −$13 -99%
Knicks vs. 76ers May 10 $273 +$176 +64%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians - May 10 $198 +$198 +100%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans May 09 $427 −$427 -100%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves May 09 $99 +$50 +50%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Banga May 07 $213 −$209 -98%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs May 06 $22 −$21 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 02 $9 −$9 -100%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 02 $195 −$195 -100%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals May 01 $306 +$713 +233%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 29 $157 +$158 +101%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders Apr 26 $561 −$533 -95%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titans Apr 26 $200 +$28 +14%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 25 $193 +$77 +40%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings Apr 25 $195 +$1,266 +648%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Riders Apr 17 $63 −$63 -100%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders Apr 14 $175 −$151 -86%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 13 $65 −$12 -18%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants Apr 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans Apr 09 $18 −$18 -100%
Knicks vs. Grizzlies Apr 02 $4 −$4 -100%
Bucks vs. Rockets Apr 02 $1 −$1 -100%
76ers vs. Wizards Apr 02 $5 $0 +9%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitals Apr 01 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Apr 01 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Apr 01 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Mar 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Mar 26 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Mar 25 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Mar 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Mar 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Mar 25 $3 +$3 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Mar 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Mavericks vs. Hawks Mar 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Mar 25 $6 −$5 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Mar 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% +$165
crypto 10% −$128
other 3% −$135
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 54m
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 54m
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 1h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $8 16h
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $8 39h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 42h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 43h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 43h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 43h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 43h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 45h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 47h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 47h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 47h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 47h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 47h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 47h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 47h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 47h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 47h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 47h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 47h
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-34.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -25.0% -32.1% 0% 0% -85.6%
≤30d 10 -46.9% -52.0% 10% 10% -43.5%
≤90d 68 -37.8% -43.7% 25% 21% -10.3%
all 94 -27.1% -34.1% 33% 28% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -34.1% 28% -11.0%
10% -40.4% 24% -19.5%
15% -46.1% 22% -27.3%
20% -51.4% 16% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.02 · official $7.02 (match) · 433 history records