Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:11:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f30…3aee
sports · 754 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$40,933 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$40,345 · open −$623
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$406
Realized−$40,345
Unrealized−$623
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses450 / 301
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Est. fees paid−$4,415
Open positions3
Markets (closed)751 / 754
History coverage107d
Avg bet$689
Trades / day18.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 751 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$279
7 days+$1,294
14 days−$5,555
30 days−$6,936
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 32¢ 26¢ $491 $402 −$89 (-18%)
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Harmony Tan 81¢ 83¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Felix Auger-Aliassime 70¢ 0¢ $534 $0 −$534 (-100%)
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Natus Vincere 66¢ 0¢ $137 $0 −$137 (-100%)
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) Nongshim Red Force 56¢ 0¢ $517 $0 −$517 (-100%)
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Natus Vincere 55¢ 0¢ $855 $0 −$855 (-100%)
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) KT Rolster 63¢ 0¢ $969 $0 −$969 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 46¢ 0¢ $333 $0 −$333 (-100%)
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega Sentinels 51¢ 0¢ $470 $0 −$470 (-100%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) Dplus KIA 68¢ 0¢ $555 $0 −$555 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Thunder 74¢ 0¢ $1,029 $0 −$1,029 (-100%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) HANJIN BRION 45¢ 0¢ $609 $0 −$609 (-100%)
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs Zero Tenacity 30¢ 0¢ $555 $0 −$555 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner Zero Tenacity 35¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs Xtreme Gaming 59¢ 0¢ $761 $0 −$761 (-100%)
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner Power Rangers 36¢ 0¢ $191 $0 −$191 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Under 77¢ 0¢ $1,567 $0 −$1,567 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 38¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner Power Rangers 34¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) Gentle Mates 73¢ 0¢ $554 $0 −$554 (-100%)
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) Khamzat Chimaev 80¢ 0¢ $265 $0 −$265 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner Nigma Galaxy 59¢ 0¢ $370 $0 −$370 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs Astralis 64¢ 0¢ $1,333 $0 −$1,333 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,004 −$527 -52%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $804 +$199 +25%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $372 +$140 +38%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $337 +$208 +62%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $799 +$195 +24%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $755 +$46 +6%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $400 +$158 +40%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 12 $390 −$386 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $937 +$48 +5%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $640 −$633 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $455 +$165 +36%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,038 +$413 +20%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,990 +$47 +2%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $627 −$618 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,134 +$483 +23%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $2,240 +$1,049 +47%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,156 −$1,099 -95%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 11 $1,775 −$920 -52%
Spread: Knicks (-13.5) Jun 11 $1,504 +$167 +11%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $837 +$110 +13%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $599 +$238 +40%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $372 +$237 +64%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $513 +$42 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 10 $582 +$28 +5%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $390 +$302 +77%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $384 +$221 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $102 +$35 +34%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $685 +$60 +9%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $676 −$333 -49%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 09 $558 −$14 -3%
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Jun 09 $707 +$338 +48%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $401 +$281 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 09 $354 +$76 +22%
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) Jun 09 $620 −$267 -43%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Mast Jun 09 $1,600 +$15 +1%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $338 +$370 +109%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $615 +$149 +24%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $558 +$105 +19%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $991 +$182 +18%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $403 −$394 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,054 +$339 +32%
Ilkley: August Holmgren vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Jun 08 $852 +$180 +21%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $861 +$13 +2%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $748 +$113 +15%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $343 −$191 -56%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $31 −$30 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Jun 08 $77 −$46 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 03 $35 −$34 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 03 $25 +$9 +34%
Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatov Jun 03 $150 −$64 -42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$37,908
crypto 12% −$3,193
other 0% +$134
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 32¢ $501 10m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee SELL Harmony Tan 87¢ $503 12m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 81¢ $477 13m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 42¢ $476 14m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 87¢ $1,004 22m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 93¢ $1,003 22m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 83¢ $267 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 70¢ $166 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 70¢ $372 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $512 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $537 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $545 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 72¢ $372 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 61¢ $337 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 67¢ $994 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 53¢ $799 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 100¢ $801 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 94¢ $755 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $559 5h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 71¢ $400 7h
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY T1 68¢ $390 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 95¢ $937 16h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 62¢ $640 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 92¢ $621 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $455 23h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $2,451 24h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 83¢ $2,038 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 100¢ $2,038 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 97¢ $1,990 25h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Nick Kyrgios 53¢ $627 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +1.3% -8.3% 72% 55% -5.9%
≤30d 180 -5.2% -14.2% 63% 48% -13.9%
≤90d 692 -12.3% -20.7% 59% 42% -17.2%
all 751 -10.3% -18.9% 60% 43% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.7 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 43% -16.6%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 31% -24.5%
15% -33.7% 20% -31.8%
20% -40.2% 12% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $406.22 · official $406.22 (match) · 2287 history records