Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:52:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f53…ad3a
crypto · 42 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$65 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$65 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$65
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses14 / 27
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)41 / 42
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day47.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 1 History 41 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$65
7 days−$65
14 days−$65
30 days−$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 46¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-7%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Yes 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$75 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$9 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$5 +19%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $4 +$24 +596%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $35 −$35 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $15 +$24 +160%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $2 +$20 +982%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$13 +247%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $30 +$13 +42%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $8 +$42 +510%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% −$105
other 35% +$42
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY Yes 21¢ $2 9h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $4 9h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 +8.2% -2.1% 34% 32% -23.3%
≤30d 41 +8.2% -2.1% 34% 32% -23.3%
≤90d 41 +8.2% -2.1% 34% 32% -23.3%
all 41 +8.2% -2.1% 34% 32% -23.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.1% 32% -23.3%
10% ← realistic here -11.4% 24% -30.6%
15% -20.0% 20% -37.3%
20% -27.8% 17% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.30 · official $9.30 (match) · 86 history records