Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:35:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f55…5555
crypto · 131 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses80 / 51
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)131 / 131
History coverage33d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day13.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 131 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days−$36
14 days−$33
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Esport Academy Copenhagen 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +21%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Ind Jun 14 $1 +$2 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$3 +16%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $6 −$2 -34%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - ROG Jou Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $15 −$3 -20%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$6 -58%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $7 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$26
sports 7% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -18.6% -26.3% 37% 26% -19.2%
≤30d 70 -12.4% -20.7% 50% 29% -15.8%
≤90d 131 -5.6% -14.6% 61% 36% -12.8%
all 131 -5.6% -14.6% 61% 36% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.6% 36% -12.8%
10% -22.8% 15% -21.2%
15% -30.3% 8% -28.8%
20% -37.1% 6% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 495 history records