Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:37:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5F 0x5f64…c47c crypto 487 markets active 0h ago coverage 75d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$21 (+0%) realized +$21 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR13%break-even
Win rate84%410W / 77L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day13.5pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$11
14 days+$23
30 days+$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$9
other 4% +$18
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 +1.7% -8.0% 98% 2% -7.7%
≤30d 95 -1.9% -11.3% 92% 11% -7.9%
≤90d 487 -2.9% -12.1% 84% 13% -9.3%
all 487 -2.9% -12.1% 84% 13% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.1% 13% -9.3%
10% -20.5% 4% -18.0%
15% -28.2% 1% -25.9%
20% -35.2% 1% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
84% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.07 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

75d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses410 / 77
Open positions0
Markets (closed)487 / 487
History coverage75d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day13.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 487 Trades
no open positions (20 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $91 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $85 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $65 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 09 $77 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 09 $61 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 09 $44 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 07 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 07 $4 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $90 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1410 history records