Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T18:25:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5F 0x5f6c…620b sports 718 markets active 5h ago coverage 56d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 55d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$12,593 (+7%) realized +$12,593 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate72%520W / 199L
Whale WR76%big bets
Drawdown36%max
Avg bet$245per market
Trades / day59.9pace
Fees−$1,010est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$3,317
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 +18.4% +7.2% 72% 33% -9.5%
≤30d 404 -0.6% -10.0% 72% 34% -8.1%
≤90d 719 -0.9% -10.3% 72% 30% -7.8%
all 719 -0.9% -10.3% 72% 30% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 30% -7.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 12% -16.7%
15% -26.7% 6% -24.7%
20% -33.9% 3% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
56% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 76% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$27 vs −$55 · ×0.5 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.3 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

56d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$12,593
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses520 / 199
Whale WR (big bets)76%
Est. fees paid−$1,010
Open positions0
Markets (closed)719 / 718
History coverage56d ⚠
Avg bet$245
Trades / day59.9
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 719 Trades
no open positions (80 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $38 −$38 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $200 $0 +0%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo Jun 17 $132 −$130 -98%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $160 −$157 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner Jun 17 $46 −$45 -97%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner Jun 17 $132 −$39 -29%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 15 $59 +$24 +40%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $512 −$60 -12%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner Jun 15 $466 +$1,497 +321%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 15 $63 +$7 +11%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $80 +$4 +6%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $213 −$29 -14%
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $80 +$13 +16%
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 14 $237 +$2 +1%
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $120 +$14 +12%
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $422 +$61 +14%
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 14 $200 $0 +0%
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $120 +$13 +10%
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $100 +$5 +5%
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $80 +$8 +10%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $682 +$81 +12%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 14 $100 +$11 +11%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $40 +$22 +55%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $130 +$19 +15%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $732 −$5 -1%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $13 +$2 +12%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $40 +$6 +14%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $301 +$22 +7%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $120 −$89 -74%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $150 +$8 +5%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $63 +$1 +1%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $155 −$52 -33%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $80 +$8 +10%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$3 +3%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $391 +$38 +10%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $320 +$16 +5%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $46 +$52 +114%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $341 +$19 +6%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $336 −$126 -37%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $400 +$4 +1%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,673 −$804 -30%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $60 +$14 +23%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $221 −$160 -72%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $322 +$92 +29%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $960 +$23 +2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $60 +$9 +15%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $372 +$72 +19%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $342 +$3 +1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $41 −$2 -4%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $241 +$48 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 41¢ $132 4h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 Academy 100¢ $200 7h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 71¢ $40 8h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 40¢ $10 8h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 42¢ $51 8h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 20¢ $4 8h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 17¢ $3 8h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 22¢ $19 8h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 26¢ $32 8h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 5¢ $10 9h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 14¢ $36 9h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 41¢ $32 9h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner SELL Dplus KIA Challengers 80¢ $92 9h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 95¢ $40 10h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 90¢ $18 10h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 86¢ $2 10h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 79¢ $40 10h
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner SELL Galions 100¢ $83 2d
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winner SELL Galions 100¢ $493 2d
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner SELL Solary 3¢ $42 2d
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner SELL Solary 21¢ $177 2d
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner SELL Solary 23¢ $65 2d
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner SELL Solary 11¢ $102 2d
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner SELL Solary 46¢ $536 2d
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner SELL Solary 42¢ $577 2d
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner SELL Solary 35¢ $277 2d
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner BUY Solary 47¢ $51 2d
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner BUY Solary 1¢ $51 2d
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner BUY Solary 1¢ $51 2d
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner SELL Galions 75¢ $78 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records