Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:31:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f6d…976f
crypto · 1582 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$586 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$590 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$372
Realized−$590
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1397 / 178
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1575 / 1582
History coverage3d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day592.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 7 History 1575 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$405
7 days−$590
14 days−$590
30 days−$590
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $49 $50 +$1 (+3%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $49 $50 +$1 (+3%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$2 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$7 -13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$2 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$2 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $70 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$2 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $70 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $70 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $70 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $70 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$557
other 23% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $70 2m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $70 3m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $69 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $49 11m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up $8 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $49 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 16m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 17m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 21m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 21m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $69 27m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 27m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 27m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1575 +0.1% -9.5% 89% 1% -10.2%
≤30d 1575 +0.1% -9.5% 89% 1% -10.2%
≤90d 1575 +0.1% -9.5% 89% 1% -10.2%
all 1575 +0.1% -9.5% 89% 1% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover592.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 1% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 0% -18.8%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $371.83 · official $370.01 (match) · 3500 history records