trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 22 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 91% | 0% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -12.3% | 0% | -9.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -20.7% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -28.4% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -35.4% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $48 | $48 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Solana reach $130 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $48 | $48 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | Jun 05 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? | Jun 05 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Solana reach $170 in May? | Jun 05 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? | Jun 05 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | May 05 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP dip to $0.40 in April? | May 05 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? | May 05 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in April? | May 05 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $30 in April? | May 05 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | Apr 05 | $6,239 | +$7 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 19? | Mar 20 | $21,313 | +$21 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 18? | Mar 19 | $21,401 | +$21 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | Mar 06 | $118 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | Feb 26 | $118 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 1 | Feb 11 | $118 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6? | Feb 07 | $118 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 4 | Feb 05 | $118 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 3? | Feb 04 | $117 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Feb 01 | $117 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Jan 17 | $12 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January? | Jan 17 | $94 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? | Jan 13 | $4 | −$3 | -63% |