Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:21:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5f74…04db
crypto · 7 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$4 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses3 / 3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)6 / 7
History coverage31d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 1 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET May 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 14 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$11
other 25% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $6 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $7 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 31d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +113.9% +93.6% 100% 100% +93.6%
≤30d 1 +113.9% +93.6% 100% 100% +93.6%
≤90d 6 -11.7% -20.1% 50% 50% -23.8%
all 6 -11.7% -20.1% 50% 50% -23.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.1% 50% -23.8%
10% -27.7% 33% -31.1%
15% -34.7% 17% -37.8%
20% -41.1% 17% -43.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.72 · official $4.72 (match) · 15 history records