trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 40% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 29% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 29% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 28 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 43% | 0% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.2% | 0% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -17.9% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -25.8% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 25 | $76 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 25 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Jun 25 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 24 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 03 | $68 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 01 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 30 | $31 | +$1 | +4% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 29 | $74 | −$1 | -1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 29 | $12 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 28 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15 | Jun 26 | $10 | $0 | -5% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | Apr 11 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 10 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair? | Apr 10 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 09 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days? | Apr 07 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 04 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31? | Apr 02 | $16 | $0 | +3% |
| Eric Adams out as NYC mayor by March 31? | Mar 28 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 28 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Mar 21 | $16 | $0 | +0% |