trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 50% | 50% | +1.0% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 50% | 50% | +1.0% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 50% | 50% | +1.0% |
| all | 12 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 50% | 50% | +1.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.2% | 50% | +1.0% |
| 10% | -29.6% | 50% | -8.7% |
| 15% | -36.4% | 50% | -17.5% |
| 20% | -42.6% | 42% | -25.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 54¢ | 54¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | Over | 53¢ | 52¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+16%) |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-17%) |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-42%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | Yes | 27¢ | 11¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-58%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $20 | +$15 | +73% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $35 | +$14 | +40% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $20 | +$14 | +70% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $10 | −$7 | -68% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $15 | −$12 | -82% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $6 | +$4 | +67% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5 | Jun 19 | $5 | +$4 | +79% |
| United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5 | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $3 | +$2 | +54% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |