trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +11.1% | +0.5% | 67% | 33% | -3.0% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +11.1% | +0.5% | 67% | 33% | -3.0% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +13.6% | +2.8% | 71% | 57% | +5.8% |
| all | 9 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 67% | 56% | +6.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.5% | 56% | +6.4% |
| 10% | -16.4% | 33% | -3.8% |
| 15% | -24.4% | 11% | -13.1% |
| 20% | -31.8% | 0% | -21.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by June 23, 2026? | Yes | 76¢ | 74¢ | $76 | $74 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | Jun 21 | $62 | −$2 | -3% |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Jun 19 | $220 | +$19 | +8% |
| Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+? | Jun 19 | $18 | +$5 | +28% |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | May 18 | $33 | +$4 | +13% |
| Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30? | May 18 | $47 | +$8 | +18% |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | May 13 | $163 | +$65 | +40% |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | May 12 | $29 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | Feb 27 | $131 | +$33 | +25% |
| Rachel Reeves out as Chancellor of the Exchequer by December 31? | Nov 29 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |