trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +100.1% | +81.1% | 75% | 75% | +55.9% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +22.4% | +10.8% | 44% | 44% | +44.0% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +15.2% | +4.2% | 41% | 41% | +37.9% |
| all | 26 | -11.3% | -19.7% | 35% | 35% | +25.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.7% | 35% | +25.9% |
| 10% | -27.4% | 35% | +13.9% |
| 15% | -34.4% | 35% | +2.9% |
| 20% | -40.8% | 35% | -7.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $150 | $135 | −$15 (-10%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50 | $94 | +$44 (+88%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $40 | $63 | +$23 (+57%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $49 | $50 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $25 | $24 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $22 | +$2 (+12%) |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $17 | −$13 (-44%) |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Yes | 31¢ | 16¢ | $29 | $16 | −$14 (-47%) |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $11 | −$19 (-62%) |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | No | 53¢ | 18¢ | $26 | $9 | −$17 (-65%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 23¢ | 2¢ | $58 | $6 | −$52 (-90%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $289 | +$211 | +73% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $47 | −$46 | -98% |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 14 | $96 | +$123 | +127% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Jun 14 | $10 | +$30 | +300% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 10 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 09 | $95 | −$20 | -21% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Jun 09 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Jun 06 | $20 | +$21 | +101% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 04 | $72 | +$232 | +323% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 04 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $20 | −$6 | -32% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 | May 31 | $10 | +$10 | +101% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $20 | +$17 | +86% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | May 30 | $18 | −$18 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Mar 22 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan | Jan 24 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | Dec 30 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Warriors | Dec 23 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Rockets (-12.5) | Dec 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Timberwolves | Dec 22 | $10 | +$7 | +75% |
| Lakers vs. Clippers | Dec 21 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Warriors | Dec 21 | $28 | +$21 | +74% |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) | Dec 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Dec 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |