trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +58.7% | +43.6% | 100% | 100% | +43.2% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 82% | 18% | -15.9% |
| all | 15 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 87% | 13% | -15.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.9% | 13% | -15.2% |
| 10% | -22.1% | 13% | -23.3% |
| 15% | -29.7% | 13% | -30.7% |
| 20% | -36.6% | 7% | -37.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 80¢ | 80¢ | $420 | $417 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $206 | +$103 | +50% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 05 | $186 | +$125 | +67% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 13 | $140 | −$139 | -99% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February? | May 13 | $7 | $0 | +3% |
| Will January 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | May 13 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026? | May 13 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February? | May 13 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 3? | May 13 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | May 13 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | May 13 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 17 | $144 | −$143 | -99% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 04 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? | Feb 04 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | Feb 04 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 08 | $33 | $0 | +0% |