Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:59:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5fc3…d179
crypto · 664 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$82 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$445 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$445
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses321 / 343
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)664 / 664
History coverage41d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day49.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 664 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$132
7 days−$261
14 days−$423
30 days−$437
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$13 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$7 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$16 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$11 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$6 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$11 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$11 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$23 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$6 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$441
sports 0% −$2
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $7 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $9 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $9 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $8 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $9 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-25.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 201 -20.3% -27.9% 41% 38% -31.7%
≤30d 645 -17.0% -24.9% 49% 42% -21.3%
≤90d 664 -17.6% -25.5% 48% 42% -21.5%
all 664 -17.6% -25.5% 48% 42% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.5% 42% -21.5%
10% ← realistic here -32.6% 34% -29.0%
15% -39.1% 25% -35.9%
20% -45.1% 19% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.01 (match) · 2107 history records