Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T03:35:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5F 0x5fcf…75c1 crypto 174 markets active 1h ago coverage 11d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 10d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (303 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$30,871 (+6%) realized +$30,871 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate100%174W / 0L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$2,854per market
Trades / day302.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$8,080
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (303 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 123 +1.0% -8.6% 100% 0% -8.6%
≤30d 174 +2.8% -7.0% 100% 1% -8.1%
≤90d 174 +2.8% -7.0% 100% 1% -8.1%
all 174 +2.8% -7.0% 100% 1% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover302.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 1% -8.1%
10% -15.9% 1% -16.9%
15% ← realistic here -24.0% 1% -24.9%
20% -31.4% 1% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 38% · top 2 39% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$4,000) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +5% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
19.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$46 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$30,871
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses174 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)174 / 174
History coverage11d ⚠
Avg bet$2,854
Trades / day302.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 174 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 23 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 23 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 22 $6,999 +$71 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 22 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 22 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 22 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 22 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 22 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 22 $31 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 22 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 22 $6,999 +$71 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 22 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 22 $9,999 +$101 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 22 $1,047 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 22 $4,602 +$46 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 21 $1,821 +$18 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 21 $4,000 +$40 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 21 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 21 $5,152 +$52 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 21 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 21 $691 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 21 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 21 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 21 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 21 $4,305 +$43 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 20 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 20 $65 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 20 $8,742 +$88 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 20 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 20 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 20 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $6,999 +$71 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 19 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 19 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 19 $4,000 +$40 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 19 $9,999 +$101 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 19 $3,619 +$37 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 19 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 19 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 19 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 19 $4,000 +$40 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 19 $4,000 +$40 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 19 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 19 $3,973 +$40 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 19 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 19 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 19 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 19 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,000 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,000 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $162 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $206 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $495 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2,212 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $491 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $114 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records