Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:35:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5fda…33fe
crypto · 479 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$565 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$565 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$565
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses213 / 266
Open positions0
Markets (closed)479 / 479
History coverage64d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day35.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 479 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$49
14 days−$49
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 12¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+705%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 31¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+223%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$29 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$13 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$28 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$10 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$11 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$18 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$5 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$15 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$7 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$12 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$10 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$3 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$11 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$2 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$8 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$3 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$565
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $14 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $20 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $52 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $13 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $12 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-2.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 193 +29.1% +16.8% 49% 24% -12.7%
≤30d 194 +28.9% +16.6% 48% 24% -12.7%
≤90d 479 +7.6% -2.6% 44% 27% -19.5%
all 479 +7.6% -2.6% 44% 27% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.6% 27% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -12.0% 18% -27.2%
15% -20.5% 14% -34.2%
20% -28.3% 11% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.61 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records