Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T23:02:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5F 0x5fe4…8187 crypto 374 markets active 0h ago coverage 25d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (61 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$150 (+1%) realized +$150 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate64%241W / 133L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$44per market
Trades / day60.7pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$198
7 days−$198
14 days+$79
30 days−$325
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$297
world 6% −$20
weather 1% −$8
politics 0% −$1
other 0% −$1
finance 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (61 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -10.3% -18.9% 53% 40% -21.6%
≤30d 374 -4.1% -13.2% 64% 39% -11.2%
≤90d 374 -4.1% -13.2% 64% 39% -11.2%
all 374 -4.1% -13.2% 64% 39% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover60.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 39% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 21% -19.7%
15% -29.1% 9% -27.4%
20% -36.1% 4% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
39% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$17 · ×0.47 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$150
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses241 / 133
Open positions0
Markets (closed)374 / 374
History coverage25d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day60.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 374 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 18 $51 −$47 -92%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 18 $52 −$38 -74%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 18 $52 +$37 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 18 $102 +$13 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 18 $103 −$53 -51%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 18 $51 +$23 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 18 $50 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 18 $102 −$60 -58%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $102 +$26 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 18 $204 −$52 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 18 $204 −$71 -35%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $102 +$9 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 18 $103 +$66 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 18 $102 +$51 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $103 −$103 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$3 -33%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $55 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 07 $52 −$50 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 07 $52 +$9 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 07 $103 +$38 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 07 $103 −$79 -77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 07 $51 +$12 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 07 $51 +$10 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 07 $36 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 07 $103 −$22 -22%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 07 $51 −$36 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 07 $52 −$34 -66%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 07 $51 +$10 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 07 $82 +$16 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 07 $103 +$18 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 07 $51 +$17 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 07 $51 +$18 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 07 $52 +$11 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 07 $102 +$12 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 07 $51 +$9 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 07 $101 −$33 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 07 $52 +$13 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 07 $52 +$15 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 07 $52 −$47 -91%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 07 $51 +$5 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 07 $41 +$17 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 07 $51 +$11 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 07 $51 +$12 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 07 $51 +$16 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 07 $51 +$29 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 07 $102 −$37 -36%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 07 $102 +$30 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 07 $51 +$24 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 07 $51 +$12 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 07 $51 +$11 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $51 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $13 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $52 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $89 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $52 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $54 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $61 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $51 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $50 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $103 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $74 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $51 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $51 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $43 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $102 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $127 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $102 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $124 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $101 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $28 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $102 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $107 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $101 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $103 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $110 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $102 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1567 history records