Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:01:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5fe4…7eb3
crypto · 931 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$37 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$91 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$91
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses494 / 437
Open positions0
Markets (closed)931 / 931
History coverage26d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day74.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 931 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$54
14 days−$53
30 days−$91
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$91
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 236 -16.2% -24.2% 45% 43% -17.4%
≤30d 931 -7.6% -16.4% 53% 50% -13.2%
≤90d 931 -7.6% -16.4% 53% 50% -13.2%
all 931 -7.6% -16.4% 53% 50% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 50% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 44% -21.5%
15% -31.7% 35% -29.1%
20% -38.4% 27% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2167 history records