Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:36:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5fe6…a99f
crypto · 1690 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10,727 -34%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,493 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,493
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses432 / 1272
Est. fees paid−$511
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1704 / 1690
History coverage70d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day46.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 1704 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,493
7 days−$1,900
14 days−$1,606
30 days−$2,465
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm Seattle Storm 13¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Oeiras 4: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Mona Barthel Andrea Lazaro Garcia 24¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Madrid Open, Qualification: Zsombor Piros vs Tomas Barrios Tomas Barrios 21¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx Atlanta Dream 8¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$9 -144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Raptors vs. Clippers Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Pacers vs. Hornets Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% −$2,940
crypto 41% −$1,710
other 3% −$430
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $21 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $13 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $11 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $14 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $21 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $0 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $11 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-39.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 308 -59.7% -63.5% 17% 15% -50.4%
≤30d 744 -32.7% -39.1% 26% 25% -27.6%
≤90d 1704 -33.1% -39.5% 25% 24% -33.1%
all 1704 -33.1% -39.5% 25% 24% -33.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -39.5% 24% -33.1%
10% ← realistic here -45.3% 21% -39.5%
15% -50.5% 18% -45.4%
20% -55.4% 16% -50.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records