Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:01:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5F 0x5fea…78b1 sports 121 markets active 6d ago coverage 22d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 22d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (141 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$19,180 (+12%) realized +$19,180 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -29% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -48% what you keep after slip
Net edge-48%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate36%56W / 100L
Whale WR62%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,297per market
Trades / day141.2pace
Fees−$1,496est.
Kalshi-fit68%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 22d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 71% +$915
other 29% +$281
world 0% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (141 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-36.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -82.7% -84.4% 4% 2% -23.6%
≤30d 156 -29.2% -36.0% 36% 20% -8.9%
≤90d 156 -29.2% -36.0% 36% 20% -8.9%
all 156 -29.2% -36.0% 36% 20% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover141.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.0% 20% -8.9%
10% -42.1% 13% -17.6%
15% ← realistic here -47.7% 9% -25.5%
20% -52.8% 8% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 35% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
41% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -29% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 62% (≥$999) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -4% → late -55% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
16.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$405 vs −$218 · ×1.85 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.04 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$19,180
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses56 / 100
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$1,496
Open positions0
Markets (closed)156 / 121
History coverage22d ⚠
Avg bet$1,297
Trades / day141.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 156 Trades
no open positions (44 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 17 $1 −$1 -52%
Istanbul: Mert Naci Turker vs Alafia Ayeni Jun 17 $8 −$10 -125%
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Tunis: Bernard Tomic vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-10? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -136%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Will CD Cuenca vs. Recoleta FC end in a draw? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $1 −$1 -87%
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5) Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-09? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CA Mineiro vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5) Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Will ZED FC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC end in a draw? Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Francesca Jones vs Yelyzaveta Kotlia Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Jakub Mensik Jun 17 $0 −$276 -85450%
Bengaluru 2: Manish Sureshkumar vs Ilya Ivashka Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-17? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will National Bank of Egypt Club win on 2026-05-17? Jun 17 $0 −$8 -1987%
Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw? Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5) Jun 17 $5 −$13 -261%
LoL: EKO Esports vs GMBLERS ESPORTS - Game 3 Winner Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Modern SC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Viktorija Golubic vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 17 $1 $0 -12%
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins Jun 11 $135 −$32 -24%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $287 +$13 +4%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $2,877 +$440 +15%
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? Jun 10 $255 −$14 -6%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $52 −$47 -89%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,177 −$26 -2%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $104 −$102 -98%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles Jun 10 $34 −$15 -44%
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-06-08? Jun 10 $1,468 −$883 -60%
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 10 $735 −$370 -50%
Will Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC end in a draw? Jun 10 $372 −$16 -4%
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics Jun 09 $896 +$33 +4%
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-23? Jun 08 $307 −$20 -6%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-02? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Pyramids FC win on 2026-05-20? Jun 08 $27 −$6 -24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins SELL SSG Landers 2¢ $2 5d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins SELL SSG Landers 2¢ $0 5d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins SELL SSG Landers 7¢ $1 5d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins BUY LG Twins 90¢ $83 5d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins SELL SSG Landers 10¢ $3 5d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins BUY SSG Landers 5¢ $0 5d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins SELL SSG Landers 21¢ $2 5d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins SELL SSG Landers 21¢ $2 5d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins BUY SSG Landers 5¢ $0 5d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins BUY SSG Landers 10¢ $3 5d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins BUY SSG Landers 10¢ $13 5d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins BUY SSG Landers 9¢ $6 5d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins BUY SSG Landers 9¢ $1 5d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins BUY SSG Landers 10¢ $5 6d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins BUY SSG Landers 11¢ $3 6d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins BUY SSG Landers 11¢ $6 6d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins BUY SSG Landers 12¢ $2 6d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins BUY SSG Landers 12¢ $12 6d
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6d
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6d
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 6d
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 6d
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 6d
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 6d
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? SELL No 99¢ $206 6d
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? SELL No 99¢ $43 6d
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? BUY Yes 1¢ $8 6d
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? BUY No 95¢ $198 6d
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 6d
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? BUY No 93¢ $42 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.25 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records