trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -21.4% | -28.9% | 29% | 19% | +9.9% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -21.4% | -28.9% | 29% | 19% | +9.9% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -21.4% | -28.9% | 29% | 19% | +9.9% |
| all | 23 | -17.8% | -25.6% | 35% | 26% | +9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.6% | 26% | +9.8% |
| 10% | -32.7% | 22% | -0.7% |
| 15% | -39.2% | 17% | -10.3% |
| 20% | -45.2% | 9% | -19.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 70¢ | 69¢ | $1,500 | $1,489 | −$11 (-1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $1,000 | $1,039 | +$39 (+4%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $50 | $48 | −$2 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | Jun 21 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | Jun 21 | $52 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $1,010 | +$414 | +41% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $205 | −$200 | -97% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $304 | +$217 | +71% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $113 | −$9 | -8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | Jun 20 | $117 | −$89 | -76% |
| Solana Up or Down - June 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | Jun 20 | $3 | −$3 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | Jun 20 | $26 | +$2 | +8% |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 20 | $102 | −$80 | -78% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $2,353 | +$1,121 | +48% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 20 | $103 | +$557 | +543% |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 Paraguay? | Jun 20 | $62 | −$19 | -31% |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 20 | $102 | −$36 | -35% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $14 | −$4 | -27% |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 2 Paraguay? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$4 | -19% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | Jun 20 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2PM ET | Jun 20 | $162 | −$162 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | Jun 20 | $430 | −$430 | -100% |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-10-21? | Jun 20 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2PM ET | Oct 21 | $369 | +$61 | +17% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | Oct 21 | $288 | +$69 | +24% |