Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T01:39:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5F 0x5ff7…5bc8 crypto 163 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Total PnL +$266 (+6%) realized +$430 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR67%break-even
Win rate95%155W / 8L
Drawdown42%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day128.3pace
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% +$429
other 7% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+1.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 163 +12.2% +1.5% 95% 67% -1.0%
≤30d 163 +12.2% +1.5% 95% 67% -1.0%
≤90d 163 +12.2% +1.5% 95% 67% -1.0%
all 163 +12.2% +1.5% 95% 67% -1.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover128.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.5% 67% -1.0%
10% ← realistic here -8.2% 37% -10.5%
15% -17.1% 4% -19.2%
20% -25.2% 1% -27.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +9% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +12% · $-wt +9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +17% → late +7% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$42 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.27 per $1 lost it wins $2.27
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$430
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses155 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)163 / 163
History coverage3d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day128.3
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 163 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $53 +$7 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $47 +$13 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $48 +$12 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$10 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $59 +$11 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $46 +$14 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $52 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $49 +$11 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $53 +$7 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $29 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $38 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $46 +$14 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $53 +$7 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $51 +$9 +16%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $53 +$7 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $37 +$3 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $38 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $45 +$15 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $38 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$10 +19%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$6 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $38 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $48 +$12 +24%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $47 +$13 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$9 +17%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $53 +$7 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$7 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $53 +$7 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $38 +$2 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$8 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $53 +$7 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $11 11m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $18 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $24 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $47 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $48 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $50 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $46 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $49 33m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $52 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $53 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $49 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 628 history records