Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:54:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5F
0x5ffb…51bf
crypto · 1438 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$114 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,714 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$1,714
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses427 / 499
Open positions1
Markets (closed)926 / 1438
History coverage8d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day390.8
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 926 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$319
7 days+$1,352
14 days+$1,714
30 days+$1,714
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 50¢ 24¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 40¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+150%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,319
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)+22.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 820 +29.9% +17.5% 44% 44% +32.4%
≤30d 926 +35.4% +22.5% 46% 46% +37.0%
≤90d 926 +35.4% +22.5% 46% 46% +37.0%
all 926 +35.4% +22.5% 46% 46% +37.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover390.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +22.5% 46% +37.0%
10% ← realistic here +10.8% 46% +23.9%
15% +0.1% 46% +11.9%
20% -9.7% 44% +1.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.54 · official $2.65 (match) · 3500 history records