Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:16:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x6006…c7e4
crypto · 746 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,627 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,636 · open +$38
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$764
Realized−$1,636
Unrealized+$38
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses633 / 500
Open positions10
Markets (closed)1133 / 746
History coverage3d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day818.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 10 History 1133 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,199
7 days−$1,636
14 days−$1,636
30 days−$1,636
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? No 90¢ 94¢ $342 $359 +$17 (+5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? No 74¢ 84¢ $148 $169 +$21 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Down 67¢ 62¢ $51 $46 −$4 (-9%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Yes 97¢ 97¢ $44 $44 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $31 $35 +$4 (+14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $9 $19 +$10 (+109%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+59%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Down 51¢ 46¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-8%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? Up 60¢ 54¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 4? Down 86¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Up 22¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+355%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET Down 22¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+358%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 2? Down 23¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+334%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$10 +2542%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 4? Jun 12 $1 −$4 -617%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +293%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$15 +8580%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 2? Jun 12 $0 +$36 +19431%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -116%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +568%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +311%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +574%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +170%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +3652%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$63 +15718%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +835%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -1039%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$4 +1830%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +349%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +290%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +376%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$5 -776%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +178%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +1657%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +630%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -476%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$6 +3246%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5 +2550%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +2022%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -326%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +3762%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +118%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,161
other 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $8 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $8 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $7 16m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 96¢ $10 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $21 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 31m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 96¢ $10 36m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 96¢ $10 36m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 96¢ $10 36m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 96¢ $10 36m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 96¢ $10 36m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 96¢ $10 36m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 96¢ $10 36m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 96¢ $10 36m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 97¢ $10 36m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 96¢ $10 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)+84.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1133 +103.5% +84.1% 56% 31% -14.4%
≤30d 1133 +103.5% +84.1% 56% 31% -14.4%
≤90d 1133 +103.5% +84.1% 56% 31% -14.4%
all 1133 +103.5% +84.1% 56% 31% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover818.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +84.1% 31% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here +66.5% 22% -22.6%
15% +50.4% 19% -30.1%
20% +35.7% 16% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $764.25 · official $693.11 · 3500 history records