Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:36:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x6031…f96d
crypto · 48 markets active 112d ago
0.0score
+$12,851 +109%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12,851 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 0 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9,886
7 days+$9,886
14 days+$9,886
30 days+$9,886
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 19¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 12PM ET Up 32¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5AM ET Down 50¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 26¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 31¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 49¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 57¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 37¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 33¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 40¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 7AM ET Up 50¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 29¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 30¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 35¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 36¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 19¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$228 +142132%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 12PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$109 +128772%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$118 +48892%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$873 +868159%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$21 +12633%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$340 -66026%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1,196 +21351088%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1,343 +1065945%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$122 +151216%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$211 +236867%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 7AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -232%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$72 +105964%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$285 +573969%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1,707 +10345187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$305 +158348%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1,767 +4662194%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$330 +130559%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1,542 +987654%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Feb 21 $468 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Feb 21 $83 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3AM ET Feb 21 $1,092 −$9 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3AM ET Feb 21 $1,018 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Feb 21 $220 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2AM ET Feb 21 $107 +$1,180 +1106%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4AM ET Feb 20 $96 −$1 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Feb 20 $117 −$17 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Feb 20 $118 −$1 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Feb 20 $117 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Feb 20 $131 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Feb 20 $284 −$1 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Feb 20 $286 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4AM ET Feb 20 $289 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Feb 20 $86 +$806 +941%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Feb 20 $41 +$30 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Feb 20 $36 +$609 +1702%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Feb 20 $89 −$3 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Feb 20 $96 −$2 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Feb 20 $101 −$3 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Feb 20 $97 +$7 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Feb 20 $93 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Feb 20 $110 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Feb 20 $128 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Feb 20 $128 +$7 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Feb 20 $127 +$9 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Feb 20 $138 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Feb 20 $156 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Feb 20 $153 −$1 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Feb 20 $170 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Feb 20 $193 +$4 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,965
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 112d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 112d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 112d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 112d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $0 112d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 112d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $0 112d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 112d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 112d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 112d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down $0 112d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 112d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 112d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 112d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down $0 112d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 112d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 112d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 112d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 112d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 112d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 112d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 112d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 112d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 112d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 112d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 112d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 112d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 112d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 112d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 112d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+475.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +1668.6% +1500.1% 84% 84% +966.7%
≤30d 19 +1668.6% +1500.1% 84% 84% +966.7%
≤90d 19 +1668.6% +1500.1% 84% 84% +966.7%
all 67 +536.4% +475.8% 67% 33% +13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3323.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +475.8% 33% +13.4%
10% ← realistic here +420.7% 31% +2.6%
15% +370.4% 31% -7.3%
20% +324.3% 31% -16.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records