Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:59:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x6033…8a83
sports · 145 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,308 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,907 · open −$164
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$638
Realized−$1,907
Unrealized−$164
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses49 / 92
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Est. fees paid−$534
Open positions4
Markets (closed)141 / 145
History coverage303d
Avg bet$271
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 141 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$321
7 days−$257
14 days−$257
30 days−$524
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 48¢ 27¢ $500 $281 −$219 (-44%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 40¢ 100¢ $100 $250 +$150 (+150%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 20¢ 21¢ $102 $107 +$5 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 35¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 32¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage BC.Game Esports 4¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs M80 31¢ 0¢ $171 $0 −$171 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Voca 54¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs MIBR 42¢ 0¢ $248 $0 −$248 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage BC.Game Esports 42¢ 0¢ $114 $0 −$114 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage FOKUS 11¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: K27 vs WW Team (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs WW Team 38¢ 0¢ $114 $0 −$114 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner EYEBALLERS 43¢ 0¢ $127 $0 −$127 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TNT vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs Ursa 40¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B 3DMAX 56¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs BetBoom Team 55¢ 0¢ $391 $0 −$391 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Wildcard 18¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs BESTIA (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Group B BIG Academy 35¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A RED Canids 15¢ 0¢ $219 $0 −$219 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs illwill (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs illwill 60¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A M80 23¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winner Wildcard 40¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Drama eSports (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Group A Drama eSports 11¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs AM Gaming 34¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A TYLOO 46¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $305 −$300 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $305 −$300 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $175 −$88 -50%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $151 −$148 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $261 +$515 +197%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $255 −$250 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $202 +$72 +36%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $406 +$342 +84%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner May 22 $204 +$317 +156%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 21 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 21 $203 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B May 21 $172 −$170 -99%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships May 21 $178 −$175 -98%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 21 $77 −$75 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group May 20 $204 +$312 +153%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner May 20 $203 +$241 +119%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Champi May 20 $128 −$125 -98%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner May 17 $64 −$63 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Play May 16 $236 −$230 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B May 14 $204 +$384 +188%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner May 14 $102 +$98 +97%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B May 13 $609 −$53 -9%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 13 $31 +$138 +442%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B May 13 $355 +$373 +105%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic - Map 2 Winner May 12 $204 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Apr 16 $200 +$202 +101%
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 15 $225 −$219 -97%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B Apr 15 $450 −$441 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 15 $22 −$21 -97%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs Apr 09 $116 −$114 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Apr 09 $662 −$657 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoff Apr 09 $318 −$314 -99%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs Apr 09 $186 −$186 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Apr 09 $90 −$88 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Apr 09 $252 −$248 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Sta Apr 08 $176 −$176 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winner Apr 08 $199 −$196 -98%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BIG (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffs Apr 05 $172 +$227 +132%
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner Apr 05 $626 −$126 -20%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs magic (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffs Apr 05 $8 −$8 -98%
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs TYLOO (BO5) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battl Apr 05 $3,513 +$88 +2%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest G Apr 05 $171 +$125 +73%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs Apr 05 $300 −$150 -50%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs illwill (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffs Apr 05 $350 −$175 -50%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner Apr 05 $129 −$127 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 05 $67 −$65 -97%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs Apr 05 $150 −$147 -98%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group St Apr 05 $230 −$148 -65%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 05 $161 −$160 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$2,078
world 5% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY BetBoom Team 20¢ $104 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 48¢ $508 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 35¢ $102 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $102 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 47¢ $305 17h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 39¢ $305 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 35¢ $102 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 28¢ $151 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 28¢ $82 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 12¢ $73 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $102 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $159 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 32¢ $255 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $274 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $747 3d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 19¢ $102 3d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 73¢ $202 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 53¢ $406 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $521 23d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 41¢ $102 23d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 36¢ $102 23d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A BUY M80 23¢ $102 24d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A BUY TYLOO 46¢ $203 24d
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B BUY 3DMAX 56¢ $172 24d
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships BUY BC.Game Esports 38¢ $178 24d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A BUY NRG 14¢ $77 24d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 45¢ $203 25d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group BUY MIBR 39¢ $204 25d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Champi BUY BC.Game Esports 20¢ $128 25d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner BUY GamerLegion 36¢ $64 27d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -27.5% -34.4% 33% 33% -20.6%
≤30d 20 -31.0% -37.6% 30% 30% -21.8%
≤90d 138 +4.0% -5.9% 35% 34% -14.5%
all 141 +4.0% -5.9% 35% 34% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.9% 34% -14.2%
10% -14.9% 32% -22.4%
15% -23.1% 32% -29.9%
20% -30.7% 30% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $637.91 · official $637.91 (match) · 798 history records