Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:12:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x604b…6845
crypto · 290 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11,814 -40%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,814 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$11,814
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses129 / 364
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)493 / 290
History coverage11d
Avg bet$101
Trades / day294.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 493 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12,395
7 days−$11,441
14 days−$11,814
30 days−$11,814
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $273 $0 −$273 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $151 $0 −$151 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $196 −$196 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $170 −$170 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $243 −$243 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $241 −$241 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $127 −$127 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $214 −$214 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $132 −$132 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$49
tech 1% +$61
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $13 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $13 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $9 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $9 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $30 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $15 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $15 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $13 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $14 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $13 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $12 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $30 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $11 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $11 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $9 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $9 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $8 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $8 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $7 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-49.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 421 -46.7% -51.7% 24% 23% -38.1%
≤30d 493 -44.5% -49.8% 26% 24% -35.8%
≤90d 493 -44.5% -49.8% 26% 24% -35.8%
all 493 -44.5% -49.8% 26% 24% -35.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover294.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -49.8% 24% -35.8%
10% ← realistic here -54.6% 22% -41.9%
15% -59.0% 18% -47.5%
20% -63.0% 13% -52.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records