trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 27 | +7.8% | -2.5% | 44% | 41% | +19.3% |
| ≤30d | 27 | +7.8% | -2.5% | 44% | 41% | +19.3% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +7.8% | -2.5% | 44% | 41% | +19.3% |
| all | 27 | +7.8% | -2.5% | 44% | 41% | +19.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.5% | 41% | +19.3% |
| 10% | -11.8% | 41% | +7.8% |
| 15% | -20.4% | 37% | -2.6% |
| 20% | -28.2% | 37% | -12.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Colombia (-2.5) | Colombia | 26¢ | 18¢ | $19 | $14 | −$6 (-29%) |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $10 | $10 | +$1 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $20 | +$68 | +344% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $20 | +$14 | +72% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $99 | +$92 | +93% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $30 | −$11 | -38% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $49 | −$49 | -99% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $99 | +$69 | +69% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $98 | +$56 | +57% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $20 | −$19 | -98% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$9 | -88% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $20 | −$19 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $432 | +$127 | +29% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $99 | −$72 | -73% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$10 | +51% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $22 | −$14 | -63% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$19 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $30 | −$29 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$94 | +474% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $49 | −$18 | -36% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $411 | +$5 | +1% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $99 | +$92 | +93% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$8 | -80% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $201 | +$205 | +102% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$19 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $64 | +$90 | +140% |