trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -19.0% | -26.7% | 29% | 24% | -17.0% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -19.0% | -26.7% | 29% | 24% | -17.0% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -19.0% | -26.7% | 29% | 24% | -17.0% |
| all | 21 | -19.0% | -26.7% | 29% | 24% | -17.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.7% | 24% | -17.0% |
| 10% | -33.7% | 24% | -25.0% |
| 15% | -40.1% | 24% | -32.2% |
| 20% | -46.0% | 19% | -38.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 15 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 15 | $10 | $0 | -4% |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 | Jun 15 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | -17% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $39 | +$31 | +80% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $3 | +$3 | +108% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -13% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $3 | +$8 | +259% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $24 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $2 | +$1 | +54% |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $2 | +$1 | +43% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |