Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:41:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x6056…b6cd
crypto · 38 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$124 +94%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$122 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$122
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses13 / 14
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)27 / 38
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day21.3
Drawdown9%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 3 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$122
14 days+$122
30 days+$122
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Derrick Lewis 22¢ 22¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) Kyle Daukaus 27¢ 28¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) Michael Chandler 18¢ 18¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -88%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$7 +647%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$120 +2243%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$9 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% +$117
other 33% +$5
world 8% $0
sports 5% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) BUY Kyle Daukaus 27¢ $2 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai BUY Michael Chandler 18¢ $2 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Derrick Lewis 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 2h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 3h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14 BUY 3¢ $3 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 8h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 8h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14 BUY 3¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)+72.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +90.6% +72.5% 48% 48% +146.6%
≤30d 27 +90.6% +72.5% 48% 48% +146.6%
≤90d 27 +90.6% +72.5% 48% 48% +146.6%
all 27 +90.6% +72.5% 48% 48% +146.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +72.5% 48% +146.6%
10% ← realistic here +56.0% 48% +123.0%
15% +40.9% 44% +101.5%
20% +27.1% 41% +81.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.03 · official $30.49 · 61 history records