Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T14:28:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
60 0x6060…eb3a crypto 98 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$26 (+6%) realized +$26 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate73%72W / 26L
Drawdown36%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day54.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 +5.3% -4.8% 73% 40% -1.3%
≤30d 98 +5.3% -4.8% 73% 40% -1.3%
≤90d 98 +5.3% -4.8% 73% 40% -1.3%
all 98 +5.3% -4.8% 73% 40% -1.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.8% 40% -1.3%
10% ← realistic here -13.9% 26% -10.7%
15% -22.2% 13% -19.3%
20% -29.8% 8% -27.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 34% · top 2 40% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +9% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
46% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late +17% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.56 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.56 per $1 lost it wins $1.56
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses72 / 26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)98 / 98
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day54.1
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 98 Trades
no open positions (15 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$36 +678%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$4 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.04 (match) · 181 history records