trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +13.9% | +3.1% | 50% | 50% | +9.8% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +13.9% | +3.1% | 50% | 50% | +9.8% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -19.7% | -27.4% | 50% | 50% | -7.0% |
| all | 29 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 69% | 52% | +3.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.2% | 52% | +3.4% |
| 10% | -13.3% | 45% | -6.5% |
| 15% | -21.7% | 21% | -15.5% |
| 20% | -29.4% | 14% | -23.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 36¢ | 18¢ | $50 | $24 | −$26 (-51%) |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 13¢ | 5¢ | $20 | $8 | −$12 (-58%) |
| Kash Patel out by June 30? | Yes | 66¢ | 4¢ | $55 | $4 | −$51 (-93%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 21 | $60 | +$19 | +32% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Jun 21 | $25 | −$1 | -4% |
| Kash Patel out by April 30? | Apr 26 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | Apr 08 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | Apr 07 | $100 | +$22 | +22% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Apr 07 | $10 | +$7 | +68% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Apr 04 | $70 | +$17 | +24% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup? | Mar 29 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Mar 22 | $60 | +$3 | +5% |
| Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Mar 18 | $50 | +$16 | +32% |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 18 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2? | Mar 01 | $40 | −$4 | -10% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Mar 01 | $162 | +$11 | +7% |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | Feb 28 | $27 | +$23 | +85% |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? | Feb 28 | $23 | +$37 | +163% |
| Will Alexander Isak sign with a new club during the transfer window? | Sep 05 | $35 | +$15 | +43% |
| Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-16? | Aug 17 | $34 | +$16 | +45% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15? | Aug 16 | $53 | +$17 | +32% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31? | Aug 15 | $83 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | Aug 15 | $31 | +$4 | +12% |
| Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | Aug 12 | $27 | −$8 | -30% |
| Justin Bieber rehab in 2025? | Aug 12 | $22 | −$11 | -50% |
| Will Viktor Gyokeres sign with a new club during the transfer window? | Aug 06 | $100 | +$6 | +6% |
| Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament | Jun 23 | $50 | +$14 | +28% |
| Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-2? | Jun 15 | $62 | +$18 | +28% |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday? | Jun 11 | $100 | +$16 | +16% |
| Panthers vs. Oilers | Jun 06 | $75 | +$67 | +89% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | May 31 | $20 | −$16 | -82% |
| Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July? | May 31 | $20 | +$2 | +9% |