Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T02:27:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
60 0x606b…0d61 crypto 939 markets active 13h ago coverage 241d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$132 (+0%) realized +$132 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate91%858W / 81L
Whale WR87%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$303per market
Trades / day9.7pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$9
14 days+$21
30 days+$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% +$139
other 3% −$9
economics 0% −$2
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 55 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 173 -0.1% -9.7% 95% 0% -9.4%
all 939 -0.3% -9.8% 91% 2% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 2% -9.5%
10% -18.4% 1% -18.1%
15% -26.3% 1% -26.1%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 87% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +2% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$19 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.12 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

241d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$132
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses858 / 81
Whale WR (big bets)87%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)939 / 939
History coverage241d
Avg bet$303
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 939 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $1,320 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on June 16? Jun 16 $218 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $10 on June 16? Jun 16 $226 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $20 on June 16? Jun 16 $184 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $98 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 15? Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 15? Jun 15 $130 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on June 15? Jun 15 $558 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 14? Jun 14 $128 +$1 +1%
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 12? Jun 13 $105 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $90 on June 12? Jun 13 $106 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $975 +$1 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 11? Jun 12 $111 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $101 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $90 on June 11? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 11? Jun 11 $824 +$1 +0%
Will Solana reach $80 on June 10? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $75 on June 10? Jun 11 $309 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 10? Jun 10 $980 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $330 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 9? Jun 09 $1,309 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 8? Jun 08 $804 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 8? Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? Jun 08 $396 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $80 on June 7? Jun 08 $397 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on June 7? Jun 07 $97 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $300 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $1,207 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on June 5? Jun 05 $898 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $307 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 4? Jun 04 $170 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $232 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 3? Jun 04 $232 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 3? Jun 03 $1,298 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 2? Jun 02 $1,287 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 2? Jun 02 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 1? Jun 01 $10 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May? Jun 01 $6 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? Jun 01 $1,274 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on May 31? Jun 01 $16 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 30? May 30 $178 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 28? May 28 $1,283 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 27? May 27 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26? May 26 $1,293 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24? May 25 $1,199 +$1 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 18-24? May 25 $30 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24? May 25 $53 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24? May 25 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 24? May 24 $70 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $1,320 12h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $98 39h
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 15? BUY No 98¢ $5 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $130 3d
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on June 16? BUY No 99¢ $218 4d
Will the price of Solana be above $20 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $184 4d
Will the price of Solana be above $10 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $226 4d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $558 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $152 5d
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $105 5d
Will Solana reach $90 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $106 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $823 5d
Will Solana reach $85 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $111 6d
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $101 6d
Will Solana reach $90 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $150 6d
Will Solana reach $75 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $309 7d
Will Solana reach $80 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $50 7d
Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $128 7d
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $824 7d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $330 8d
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $980 8d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $1,309 9d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $32 9d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $214 9d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $150 9d
Will Solana reach $80 on June 7? BUY No 100¢ $397 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7? BUY No 100¢ $300 11d
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $100 11d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 8? BUY No 98¢ $5 11d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $804 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3269 history records