Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T00:39:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
60 0x606e…cbd3 other 4 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +83% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +59% what you keep after slip
Net edge+59%after slip
Net WR100%break-even
Win rate100%2W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day4.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit50%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 40% +$2
other 40% $0
sports 20% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+65.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +82.7% +65.3% 100% 100% +65.3%
≤30d 2 +82.7% +65.3% 100% 100% +65.3%
≤90d 2 +82.7% +65.3% 100% 100% +65.3%
all 2 +82.7% +65.3% 100% 100% +65.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +65.3% 100% +65.3%
10% +49.5% 100% +49.5%
15% +35.0% 100% +35.0%
20% +21.8% 100% +21.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 67% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +83% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +83% · $-wt +83% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses2 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit50%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 2 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 52¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 34¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-31%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $2 +$2 +83%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 14 $1 +$1 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 52¢ $1 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 34¢ $1 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 54¢ $1 8h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 54¢ $2 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.68 · official $1.68 (match) · 6 history records