Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:52:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x6074…7486
crypto · 646 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,322 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,322 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,322
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses320 / 326
Open positions0
Markets (closed)646 / 646
History coverage4d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day560.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 646 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$551
7 days−$1,322
14 days−$1,322
30 days−$1,322
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$12 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$3 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $58 +$10 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$6 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$15 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$10 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$38 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$13 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$8 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -81%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,322
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $17 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $15 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $21 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $7 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 646 -7.9% -16.7% 50% 42% -21.5%
≤30d 646 -7.9% -16.7% 50% 42% -21.5%
≤90d 646 -7.9% -16.7% 50% 42% -21.5%
all 646 -7.9% -16.7% 50% 42% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover560.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 42% -21.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 32% -29.0%
15% -31.9% 24% -35.9%
20% -38.6% 15% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2554 history records