Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:24:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x6076…f8fd
sports · 918 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$47,916 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47,915 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$47,915
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses412 / 499
Whale WR (big bets)52%
Est. fees paid−$4,036
Open positions7
Markets (closed)911 / 918
History coverage42d
Avg bet$233
Trades / day66.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 911 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$876
14 days−$1,080
30 days−$2,245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 50¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles San Diego Padres 46¢ 46¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ 68¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 47¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 42¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -16%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$4 +91%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$12 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +27%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 +$6 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$11 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 +$1 +75%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$11 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$6 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $22 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$12 +220%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $17 −$15 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$46,911
crypto 2% −$907
weather 0% −$103
other 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 25m
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 47¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 47¢ $1 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 42¢ $1 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ $1 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 46¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 84¢ $8 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 36¢ $1 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 41¢ $1 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $2 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 77¢ $3 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ $2 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 81¢ $3 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $2 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 57¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 202 +2.6% -7.2% 53% 50% -29.5%
≤30d 674 +6.6% -3.6% 47% 45% -13.0%
≤90d 911 -0.1% -9.6% 45% 43% -29.8%
all 911 -0.1% -9.6% 45% 43% -29.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 43% -29.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 39% -36.5%
15% -26.1% 35% -42.7%
20% -33.4% 30% -48.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.58 · official $7.58 (match) · 3500 history records