Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:13:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x6088…f361
crypto · 129 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$482 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$484 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$405
Realized−$484
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses53 / 97
Open positions9
Markets (closed)150 / 129
History coverage1d
Avg bet$163
Trades / day3370.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 9 History 150 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$484
7 days−$484
14 days−$484
30 days−$484
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 58¢ 59¢ $210 $212 +$2 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 41¢ 41¢ $147 $148 +$0 (+0%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No 74¢ 84¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+13%)
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 97¢ 99¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 92¢ 94¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+3%)
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 91¢ 92¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-18%)
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 39¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 17¢ 15¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 27¢ 23¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? No 72¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $381 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $341 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $193 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $378 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $374 −$14 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $383 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $376 −$16 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $389 −$9 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $355 −$10 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $217 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $392 −$12 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $367 −$7 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $371 −$11 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $178 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $374 −$14 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $196 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $388 −$8 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $390 −$10 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $282 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $388 −$8 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $371 −$11 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $257 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $177 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $234 −$7 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $131 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $137 −$7 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $93 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $111 −$1 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$123
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $12 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 150 -14.1% -22.3% 35% 3% -11.6%
≤30d 150 -14.1% -22.3% 35% 3% -11.6%
≤90d 150 -14.1% -22.3% 35% 3% -11.6%
all 150 -14.1% -22.3% 35% 3% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3370.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.3% 3% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -29.7% 1% -20.1%
15% -36.5% 1% -27.8%
20% -42.7% 1% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $405.19 · official $405.21 (match) · 3500 history records