Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:49:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x609c…9d62
crypto · 1977 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$4 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$137 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$137
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses1037 / 802
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1839 / 1977
History coverage65d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day31.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1839 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$65
7 days+$196
14 days+$322
30 days+$335
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +152%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +173%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$137
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-5.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 397 +22.1% +10.4% 55% 55% +12.6%
≤30d 617 +24.2% +12.4% 60% 60% +14.9%
≤90d 1839 +4.9% -5.1% 56% 55% -7.3%
all 1839 +4.9% -5.1% 56% 55% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.1% 55% -7.3%
10% ← realistic here -14.2% 54% -16.2%
15% -22.5% 51% -24.3%
20% -30.1% 43% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3237 history records