Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:46:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60b3…934e
crypto · 33 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$152 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$935 · open −$213
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$459
Realized−$935
Unrealized−$213
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses13 / 19
Est. fees paid−$27
Open positions1
Markets (closed)32 / 33
History coverage7d
Avg bet$167
Trades / day10.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$968
7 days−$968
14 days−$934
30 days−$934
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 61¢ 42¢ $673 $459 −$213 (-32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Gen.G 54¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 65¢ 0¢ $327 $0 −$327 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 36¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Top Esports 44¢ 0¢ $123 $0 −$123 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $521 −$373 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $651 −$100 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $207 −$89 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $195 −$165 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$48 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $92 +$108 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $93 +$107 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $48 +$52 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $96 +$104 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $105 −$102 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $344 +$187 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $265 +$16 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $207 −$76 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$14 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $207 +$183 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $105 −$100 -96%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $330 −$327 -99%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $125 −$123 -98%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $127 +$73 +57%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $6 −$6 -99%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 14 $109 −$108 -99%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 13 $114 +$186 +163%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $108 +$201 +186%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $87 −$87 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $81 −$81 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $46 −$45 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $254 −$227 -89%
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Thespa Gunma: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Fukushima United FC vs. FC Ryūkyū: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $11 +$9 +86%
Tochigi SC vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $13 +$7 +54%
Blaublitz Akita vs. Kagoshima United FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $8 +$17 +206%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 62% −$412
sports 38% −$736
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 61¢ $681 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $148 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $521 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $679 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $546 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $118 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $96 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $83 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $112 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -21.1% -28.6% 34% 34% -31.3%
≤30d 32 -8.3% -17.0% 41% 41% -30.4%
≤90d 32 -8.3% -17.0% 41% 41% -30.4%
all 32 -8.3% -17.0% 41% 41% -30.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.0% 41% -30.4%
10% -24.9% 41% -37.1%
15% -32.2% 38% -43.2%
20% -38.8% 38% -48.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $459.38 · official $459.38 (match) · 95 history records