Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:09:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60b8…81e0
crypto · 87 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$17,651 +27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20,563 · open +$5,600
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,374
Realized+$20,563
Unrealized+$5,600
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses36 / 50
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)86 / 87
History coverage1d
Avg bet$761
Trades / day2270.9
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 86 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20,563
7 days+$20,563
14 days+$20,563
30 days+$20,563
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 60¢ 98¢ $3,774 $6,113 +$2,339 (+62%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 0¢ 52¢ $0 $3,261 +$3,261 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $4,234 −$4,234 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $4,730 +$3,272 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $2,332 +$5,230 +224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1,423 −$1,423 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1,577 +$1,180 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $2,138 −$2,138 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $283 −$283 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $882 −$882 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $203 −$203 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $3,637 +$2,177 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $486 +$1,180 +243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $3,517 +$1,877 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $3,924 +$2,753 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1,827 +$4,038 +221%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $961 −$961 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2,278 +$2,722 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $3,349 +$1,406 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $3,224 +$1,709 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $162 −$162 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1,673 −$1,673 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $502 −$502 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $181 +$248 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $147 −$120 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $68 +$126 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $209 −$209 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $226 −$175 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $292 −$292 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $199 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $409 −$409 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$327 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2,629 +$4,842 +184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $91 −$85 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $431 +$677 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $338 −$292 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $180 −$180 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$25 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$64 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $467 −$467 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1,361 −$1,361 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $963 −$963 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$22,903
other 0% +$3,261
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $28 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2,527 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $815 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $535 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $840 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $195 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $567 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2,601 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $30 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $48 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $91 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $194 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $28 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $29 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $30 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $29 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $29 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $29 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $18 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $30 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 +7.2% -3.0% 42% 41% +20.3%
≤30d 86 +7.2% -3.0% 42% 41% +20.3%
≤90d 86 +7.2% -3.0% 42% 41% +20.3%
all 86 +7.2% -3.0% 42% 41% +20.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2270.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.0% 41% +20.3%
10% -12.3% 41% +8.8%
15% ← realistic here -20.8% 41% -1.7%
20% -28.5% 38% -11.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,374.07 · official $9,060.57 · 3344 history records