Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:14:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

60
0x60b9…a2a9
crypto · 81 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$4,032 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,258 · open −$774
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized−$3,258
Unrealized−$774
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses26 / 48
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions7
Markets (closed)74 / 81
History coverage11d
Avg bet$246
Trades / day285.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 7 History 74 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$165
7 days−$116
14 days−$3,258
30 days−$3,258
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31? No 27¢ 42¢ $12 $19 +$7 (+57%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 47¢ 96¢ $6 $12 +$6 (+105%)
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? No 32¢ 22¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-30%)
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 28¢ 52¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+84%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 29¢ 0¢ $747 $1 −$746 (-100%)
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? No 28¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? No 35¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? Jun 13 $33 −$3 -10%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $50 −$7 -14%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marko Maksimovic vs Lorenzo Gagliardo Jun 11 $8 +$28 +327%
FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $12 −$12 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Trump praise Allah by June 30? Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? Jun 10 $45 −$45 -100%
Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary e Jun 10 $2 +$3 +112%
Will Maurice Washington be the Republican nominee for SC-06? Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $24 −$24 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $9 +$47 +525%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 9? Jun 09 $8 −$3 -35%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $119 −$90 -76%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $12 +$33 +274%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $12 +$33 +279%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $3 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 09 $219 −$3 -2%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $27 $0 -1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $19 −$2 -12%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $344 −$52 -15%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 7? Jun 07 $187 −$104 -56%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 6? Jun 06 $4 $0 -10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $33 −$1 -2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $843 +$335 +40%
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 06 $86 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $55 −$2 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $3,644 −$2,902 -80%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 7? Jun 05 $157 −$37 -24%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 10? Jun 05 $1 $0 -35%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 9? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 10? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -86%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 9? Jun 05 $4 −$3 -93%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 7? Jun 05 $4 −$3 -92%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 8? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -92%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $67 −$67 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $112 +$113 +101%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? Jun 04 $522 +$191 +37%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8? Jun 04 $64 +$3 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 04 $22 +$4 +20%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 5? Jun 04 $937 −$49 -5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 04 $75 +$19 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$3,142
other 5% −$804
sports 3% +$19
politics 1% −$114
world 0% +$9
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 47¢ $6 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $77 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $72 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 27¢ $74 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $12 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $36 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -5.2% -14.2% 18% 18% -14.0%
≤30d 74 -2.9% -12.2% 35% 30% -25.0%
≤90d 74 -2.9% -12.2% 35% 30% -25.0%
all 74 -2.9% -12.2% 35% 30% -25.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover285.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 30% -25.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 23% -32.1%
15% -28.2% 18% -38.7%
20% -35.3% 14% -44.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.01 · official $37.01 (match) · 3500 history records