Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T05:31:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
60 0x60ba…3c6c sports 50 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (2730 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL −$3,254 (-1%) realized −$3,006 · open −$248
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +728% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +512% what you keep after slip
Net edge+512%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate52%58W / 53L
Whale WR62%big bets
Drawdown37%max
Avg bet$4,632per market
Trades / day2729.7pace
Fees−$2,640est.
Kalshi-fit58%portable
Net worth$7,032now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 54% +$5,019
sports 45% −$604
world 1% +$338
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2730 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+649.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 +728.2% +649.3% 52% 42% -1.1%
≤30d 111 +728.2% +649.3% 52% 42% -1.1%
≤90d 111 +728.2% +649.3% 52% 42% -1.1%
all 111 +728.2% +649.3% 52% 42% -1.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2729.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +649.3% 42% -1.1%
10% +577.6% 42% -10.5%
15% ← realistic here +512.1% 42% -19.2%
20% +452.1% 41% -27.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 28% · top 2 49% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
17% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +728% · $-wt +7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 62% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +176% → late +1270% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
37.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$158 vs −$77 · ×2.06 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.29 per $1 lost it wins $2.29
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$7,032
Realized−$3,006
Unrealized−$248
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses58 / 53
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$2,640
Open positions9
Markets (closed)111 / 50
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$4,632
Trades / day2729.7
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit58%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 9 History 111 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? No 66¢ 66¢ $1,980 $1,995 +$15 (+1%)
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? No 45¢ 42¢ $2,025 $1,913 −$113 (-6%)
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 Under 52¢ 48¢ $1,351 $1,260 −$91 (-7%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? No 16¢ 16¢ $960 $930 −$30 (-3%)
Will England win on 2026-06-27? No 16¢ 16¢ $960 $930 −$30 (-3%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? No 49¢ 52¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+7%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? No 46¢ 48¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? No 93¢ 94¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? No 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 89 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 27 $0 −$39 -25451%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 27 $0 +$119 +95418%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 27 $0 +$95 +83682%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 27 $0 +$50 +46626%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Jun 27 $0 −$93 -64332%
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 Jun 27 $0 +$30 +37127%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 27 $0 +$30 +49239%
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 Jun 27 $0 +$25 +24675%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? Jun 27 $0 −$319 -419722%
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Jun 27 $0 −$24 -5820%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? Jun 27 $0 +$5 +7770%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? Jun 27 $0 $0 -101%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 27 $0 +$104 +55188%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? Jun 27 $0 −$65 -69836%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? Jun 27 $0 −$164 -49694%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 27 $0 +$30 +52251%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 27 $0 $0 -102%
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 Jun 27 $0 +$4 +5155%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Jun 27 $0 −$115 -123337%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 27 $0 −$3 -7723%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Jun 27 $0 +$60 +235178%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23? Jun 27 $0 $0 -105%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 27 $1 +$64 +6542%
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5 Jun 27 $0 +$20 +17676%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Jun 27 $0 +$33 +35864%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Jun 27 $0 +$40 +66455%
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 27 $0 +$50 +34338%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 27 $0 +$107 +63965%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 27 $0 +$35 +52791%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? Jun 27 $0 −$85 -124123%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? Jun 27 $0 −$10 -10011%
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 Jun 27 $1 +$5 +366%
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? Jun 27 $0 $0 -114%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 27 $0 $0 -101%
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5 Jun 27 $0 +$30 +57498%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 27 $0 $0 -87%
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? Jun 27 $0 $0 -109%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 27 $0 +$40 +79105%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 27 $0 +$64 +75941%
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Jun 27 $0 +$80 +27707%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? Jun 27 $0 −$3 -12699%
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Jun 27 $0 −$12 -7884%
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 Jun 27 $0 +$59 +30265%
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 27 $0 +$40 +42044%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 27 $0 −$50 -98301%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 27 $0 +$20 +42375%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? Jun 27 $0 −$232 -59773%
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 Jun 27 $0 +$10 +18979%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 27 $0 $0 +527%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Jun 27 $0 +$9 +13803%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 47¢ $235 2m
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 47¢ $235 2m
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 47¢ $235 2m
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 47¢ $235 2m
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 47¢ $235 2m
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 47¢ $235 2m
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 47¢ $235 4m
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 47¢ $235 4m
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 47¢ $235 4m
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 47¢ $235 4m
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 47¢ $235 4m
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 47¢ $235 4m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 50¢ $250 13m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 50¢ $250 13m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 50¢ $250 14m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 50¢ $250 14m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 50¢ $156 14m
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 43¢ $4 14m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 50¢ $4 14m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 50¢ $90 15m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 50¢ $250 15m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 50¢ $250 15m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 50¢ $165 15m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 50¢ $18 15m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 50¢ $67 15m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 50¢ $250 15m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 50¢ $250 15m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 50¢ $250 15m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 50¢ $250 15m
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 43¢ $5 16m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,031.93 · official $7,029.86 (match) · 3500 history records