Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T00:54:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
60 0x60cf…cd3c politics 36 markets active 1h ago coverage 84d
TRAPdo not copy
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$14 (-0%) realized −$14 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 36L
Whale WR0%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$527per market
Trades / day1.3pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit65%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 40% −$5
politics 31% −$9
world 18% −$3
sports 7% −$2
crypto 4% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 14 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 36 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 36 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 0% (≥$1,103) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$1 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

84d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 36
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 36
History coverage84d
Avg bet$527
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 36 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 25 $39 $0 -0%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 25 $27 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 25 $35 $0 -0%
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 25 $1,207 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 25 $1,071 $0 -0%
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 24 $1,128 −$1 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 24 $53 $0 -0%
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? Jun 24 $1,126 −$1 -0%
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 24 $1,145 $0 +0%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30? Jun 24 $1,103 −$1 -0%
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? Jun 23 $55 $0 -0%
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 23 $1,185 −$2 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 23 $1,150 $0 -0%
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 23 $1,178 −$1 -0%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 23 $82 −$1 -1%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? May 23 $19 $0 -0%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? May 23 $21 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? May 21 $50 $0 -0%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 21 $28 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May? May 20 $830 −$1 -0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 20 $62 $0 -0%
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? May 20 $861 $0 -0%
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 20 $885 −$1 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 19 $838 −$2 -0%
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 19 $59 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 19 $876 $0 +0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 19 $1,659 −$2 -0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 18 $844 −$1 -0%
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 18 $41 $0 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 18 $851 −$2 -0%
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 06 $148 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 06 $59 $0 -0%
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 06 $29 $0 -0%
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 03 $128 $0 -0%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 03 $59 $0 -0%
Starmer out by April 30, 2026? Apr 03 $23 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $39 1h
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $18 1h
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $8 1h
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $39 1h
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $27 1h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $35 23h
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $1,206 23h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $12 23h
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,148 24h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $10 24h
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 24h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $13 24h
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $131 24h
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $37 24h
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $846 24h
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $22 25h
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $282 25h
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,128 25h
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $53 46h
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? SELL No 100¢ $1,125 46h
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $14 47h
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? BUY No 100¢ $1,078 47h
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $11 47h
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $29 47h
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? BUY No 100¢ $20 47h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 100¢ $878 2d
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 100¢ $223 2d
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? BUY No 100¢ $29 2d
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30? BUY No 100¢ $1,103 2d
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? SELL No 100¢ $55 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 119 history records