Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:36:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
60 0x60d4…efac crypto 1408 markets active 0h ago coverage 61d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 61d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$85 (+0%) realized +$85 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate72%1081W / 415L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day46.1pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$260
7 days−$344
14 days−$309
30 days−$207
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$14
sports 1% +$17
other 1% +$2
weather 0% −$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 286 -31.1% -37.7% 56% 13% -14.5%
≤30d 620 -14.7% -22.8% 75% 10% -10.7%
≤90d 1496 -7.9% -16.7% 72% 24% -10.4%
all 1496 -7.9% -16.7% 72% 24% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover46.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 24% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 16% -19.0%
15% -31.9% 11% -26.8%
20% -38.6% 8% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
65% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.32 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

61d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$85
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1081 / 415
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1496 / 1408
History coverage61d ⚠
Avg bet$18
Trades / day46.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1496 Trades
no open positions (292 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$5 -119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $74 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records