trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 29 | -19.9% | -27.5% | 21% | 10% | -13.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.5% | 10% | -13.2% |
| 10% | -34.5% | 10% | -21.5% |
| 15% | -40.8% | 10% | -29.1% |
| 20% | -46.6% | 10% | -36.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $527 | $527 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $474 | $474 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $998 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 24 | $380 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 24 | $610 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 23 | $1,005 | −$2 | -0% |
| Clippers vs. Mavericks | Nov 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Senators | Nov 12 | $9 | +$10 | +113% |
| Padres vs. Mets | Sep 16 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 16 | $5 | +$6 | +127% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Jul 15 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Magdalena Biejat be the next President of Poland? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | May 19 | $3 | $0 | -2% |
| Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 15 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League? | May 15 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 27 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Thunder vs. Cavaliers | Jan 09 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Avalanche | Jan 08 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will another movie gross most in 2024? | Jan 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Senators vs. Blues | Jan 05 | $101 | +$97 | +96% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| 草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)? | Oct 01 | $19 | $0 | -2% |